Mixos wrote:Can we stick to what's happening in Crete ...
I've been tracking the published geographical distribution figures for some time now and I still cannot reconcile all the published numbers with the infection map. Working in confirmed cases per 100,000 population in a 10 day period:
Lasithi checks out fine. There was one case on 7 October and then nothing until 1 case on 19 October so it is definitely in the 0-4 category and that is what shows on the map.
Heraklion has been showing in the 10-49 category for some time now but based on the published numbers it only moved from the 5-9 category into the 10-49 category a couple of days ago. I make it about 10.5 so down the bottom end of the category.
Rethymnon just went down from the 5-9 category into the 0-4 category, which more or less agrees with the published numbers but it is on the borderline between the two categories.
Chania is still in the 5-9 category on the map and has been for quite a few days but according to the published numbers it is now below 4 and only ever just reached 5.
I think there must be cases that are being taken into account by the government in calculating the figures used on their map but are not published in that area. Perhaps they are in the tourist category. I suppose it is a bit academic. Chania, Rethymnon and Lasithi are still all in the lowest restriction category and Heraklion is in the third so the restrictions more or less tie in with the data. I am not sure if there is a single area in the UK that is below 20 Per 100,000 in a 7 day period which was the criterion they used to move places on and off the compulsory 14 day self isolation regime. Anywhere in Crete would be off the bottom of the chart in the UK.
There are quite a few intelligent locals who believe all Greece will move into a stricter regime once the tourist season ends at the end of October. Being on an island, purely out of self interest, I think the best thing they could do is to reintroduce movement restrictions between the prefectures. It is pretty easy to enforce for the islands and I think Crete could get down to zero cases fairly quickly once nobody is coming onto the island. Test-trace-isolate ought to be able to cope with the few people who are allowed to come and go, especially if they could adopt rapid testing. The rest of us could then pretty much resume normal life apart from maintaining social distancing and wearing face masks.