Look guys, let’s try to put it all together because we are losing the plot here regarding the anxiety of who will govern next in Greece.
It used to be a time that a Greek political party will take over governance via elections for roughly a 2-4 year period and then pass on the mess created as liability of the next (successor) party. This for years was the political ping-pong between ND and Pasok as we knew it Greek politics.
This is no longer the case because of the Troika or Quadriga’s presence. In essence (and despite the deep injustice of the whole set up) the government which will take over Greece in 2-4 years from now is guaranteed to have a much better managed economy and a platform to claim future success. Therefore the old model of passing along your mess and poison the well for the successor party does not exist in Greek politics anymore (for as long as Quadriga’s supervision of Greece is on – which for purposes of this analysis let’s assume it will be for a long time).
The upside of this new Greek political reality is that, at tremendous social and political cost, a sort of financial equilibrium has been achieved. The downside of this new reality is that you don’t want to be the party that implements this austerity model because a.) basically you no longer govern w/ Quadriga breathing down your neck and b.) the damage to your name and reputation is great and impossible to either ignore or absorb.
Taking all of the above into account the bottom line is that you should avoid (punt at) being the governing party in Greece at this particular point in time because your damages/losses would be far greater than imagined. Therefore (and let’s invoke Game Theory terms for Yanis’ sake) the whole strategy and tactics must ensure how this burden of “high wear and tear governance” mode is taken over by (more likely forced upon) your opposition.
Therefore it’s quite clear that Tsipras’ best choice is to allow ND to win the next parliamentary election and clearly avoid a catastrophic experience of implementing the Schauble program at his personal and party’s great loss. Another way of thinking about this is that if Schauble insists on an “austerity for cash” program (such is the case with the 3rd MOU) then it’s Schauble responsibility to go and find a suicidal Greek party (or coalition of suicidal Greek parties) to implement such monstrosity because no sane political party could actually do it.
Summary: Tsipras and Syriza must ensure 2nd place in the upcoming September 20th election provided that they are smart enough to wear down their opposition and then have an exceptionally smooth ride by winning the next elections following the upcoming Greek parliamentary election of next month.
Loretta9 wrote:I would not trust Varoufakis as far as I could throw him...
Loretta9 wrote:I am not sure on Varoufakis but his translation of the gobbledegook - Orwellian double speak, in the aforesaid link is 100% in tune with my own views...
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